NEWS & ANALYSIS ON MAJOR INCIDENTS

- - Can the Canadian model offer a solution for southern Thailand?
- - Running out of ideas in the South
- Southern militants have scant desire to negotiate
- Thailand should just accept that South is different
- Malaysian PM's visit to show up lack of deep South action
- Najib may have some answers to deep South problems
- Still a long battle ahead in the quest for peace in the South
- Too many cooks spoiling the broth
- Seeing things from a different perspective
- Peace in the South demands historical recognition
- New ideas necessary to resolve deep South crisis
- Massacre probe must provide answers
- Money goes to waste in the deep South
- A long way to go before peace is possible in the South
- Patani Malay separatists at a crossroads
- Anupong's remarks may add fuel to the fire in the South
- Military alone cannot solve problems in the deep South
- Anupong's remarks may add fuel to the fire in the South
- Let's not allow mosque attack to derail peace bid
- South policy still lacks understanding
- Hard line lingers on the deep South
- Malays strive to keep alive the spirit of the kris
- Different approach needed in the deep South
- No one wants to live under colonial rule
- When will we really understand the South?
- Abhisit right to put the South on the agenda
- Can the Democrats stand up to the Army tactics in the South
- How long can we ignore the deep South?
- POLITICAL WILL LACKING TO DEAL WITH SOUTH PROBLEM
- No time for complacency in the South
- The South is a long way from Bangkok
- Unofficial talks may fan the flames of insurgency
- Is Chavalit fostering false hope in the deep South?
- Analysis :Ceasefire in south is just too good to be true
- Pornthip means well, but she misunderstands the south
- Army's abuses come home to roost in South
- Deep south insurgency puts strain on thai-malay relations
- In the South, the media, too, must think outside the box
- Lessons from the southern insurgency not learned
- Insurgents make it clear there is no neutral ground
- BANGKOKIAN: Odd silence on south
- Political rumblings in the deep South
- No progress in checking unrest
- Hope for the southern poor
- Between the Devil and the Deep Blue Sea
- 'Pushing people towards the insurgents'
- Analysis :Premier has wasted opportunity in South
- Crisis in south rooted in ethnic Malay identity
- Bombs 'like those in Bangkok'
- Schools aim to rise from ashes
- Harsh realities mar peace efforts in South
- Scars of Krue Se bloodbath refuse to go away
- Off-the-wall comments, suggestions have not helped
- Anti-terror effort needs closer cooperation: Nitya
- Old separatists still dream of a free patani
- Mahathir: Talk with exiled South leaders
- Military to enforce ban on public gatherings
- Rewards dropped for the arrest of militants - South to get 3,000 more troops after violence escalates
- Pulo alleges targeted killings
- 'Talks vital to restore peace in the South'
- No end in sight to violence in south - PREMIER'S FIRST BORDER TOUR: Surayud apologises for govt's abuses in South
- Government reaches out to the South
- The long road to peace in the deep South
- Just a local affair or prelude to terrorism?
- Insurgency 'has crossed a new threshold'
- South an elusive 'spider's web' for generals
- Southeast Asia the second front of global terror?
- Sonthi makes a needed overture in the South
- Southern blasts clear way for army plans
- Soldier killed by bomb in Narathiwat
- Volunteer shot dead in South
- Force alone won't win battle with insurgents
- Six dead in series of bombings, shootings in Yala, Narathiwat
- South militants number 3,000
- Army chief 'welcome in restive South'
- Push for Sondhi to boost his role
- Bombs, bullets kill 3 on weekend
- Bombings spark a scramble for excuses
- Don't make us your scapegoat: Malaysia
- Lull ends in savage wave of 44 blasts
- Admin body urged for South
- What chance of reconciliation in the South?
- More arrests in teachers' assault case
- Troubled school gets 20 teachers
- Letter from KUCHING REUPAH
- South militancy has been years in making
- More held over brutal beating of 2 teachers
- Army 'must respond quicker'
- 3 arrests over hostage taking
- Hopelessly adrift in the stormy south
- HOSTAGE TAKING: Army's image takes beating
- Juling's vision of peace
- RESTIVE SOUTH: 100 schools to shut for a week





Patani Malay separatists at a crossroads

DON PATHAN
THE NATION
Published on July 14, 2009


FIVE YEARS ago, the Patani United Liberation Organisation (Pulo) was
at a crossroads. The long-standing Malay Muslim separatist group that
emerged in the late 1960s was in disarray. Its splinter groups had
splinter groups. If anything, it was the worst time to be in disarray.
A new generation of militants had just emerged on the ground,
operating in full force. Some of the old guard, including the Pulo
rank-and-file, thought it was an opportunity to get back into the
scheme of things.
Like other long-standing groups whose members have been living in
exile since their generation of fighters went down in the early 1990s,
Pulo was willing to talk to the Thai authorities. The movement was
willing to settle for something less than full independence.

And so for the past five years, group members have been shuttling back
and forth to various pockets of Patani Malay exiles in Southeast Asia,
the Middle East and Europe to get everybody on board.

It was hoped that some sort of peace process could be jumpstarted with
the Thais. The hard part was getting the new generation of militants
to agree. In order to do that, the new generation of militants, as
well as the old guard from the previous generation, has to be
convinced that there is an endgame to the violence.

This means dropping the word "independent" in exchange for something
along the lines of "self determination", but under the context of the
Thai state.

Exiled leaders told The Nation that it was hard for some to swallow
this transition at first, but more and more are progressing toward the
idea of talking to the enemy.

A slight hiccup came just one year ago when Pulo's founder, Tengku
Bira Kotonila passed away in Damascus, Syria. "Tengku Bira will be
missed. He has been ill for some time. Our struggle will go on," The
Nation quoted Pulo foreign affairs chief, Kasturi Makota, as saying at
the time.

The struggle goes on. Just this past week, after several rounds of
meetings and sounding out more than 130 of the group's senior figures,
a new line up has been chosen to take the struggle to the next level.

Nur Abdul Rahman was elected as the new president, while Kasturi, who
continues to hold the foreign affairs portfolio, became his deputy.

The group is also fine-tuning its position, which includes endorsement
for a peace process, support for the use of military means for
political settlement, and upholding the principle of
self-determination.

But becoming a mainstream political force is easier said than done.
The group made some headway during the Surayud Chulanont
administration, but the short-lived interim government was not able to
institutionalise their relationship.

The successive governments of Samak Sundaravej and Somchai Wongsawat
were too bogged down with street protests and had no time for any
long-term initiative, much less a dialogue process with the
separatists.

Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva is trying to pick up where Surayud
left off, but has been finding it difficult to convince the
conservative quarters in the government, namely the Internal Security
Operation Command (Isoc) and the military, that talking to the enemy
is the best way to go.

While the Abhisit government explores the idea of talking to the
separatists, Pulo is working hard to convince other groups of the
merit of talking to the Thai authorities. A Pulo insider said the
Barisan Revolusi Nasional-Co-ordinate (BRN-C) is the toughest group of
all to convince.

Other groups claim to have some sort of network on the ground, but it
is generally agreed the BRN-C is the most important group of all, as
its members are said to have direct contact with the militants.

Members of the communities in exile say not all of the BRN Co-ordinate
members are convinced that talking to the Thais is what they want at
this point in time. Some favour the idea of working with other
long-standing groups, while others favour the idea of taking a
wait-and-see approach.

But as they toyed with the idea of a peace process, a group of six
gunmen massacred 11 Malay Muslims at the Al-Furquan mosque in
Narathiwat's Joh I Rong district on June 8. The incident jolted
everybody, including the militants on the ground and the exiled Patani
Malay communities. None believed that it was the work of the
militants, as suggested by the Thai authorities.

According to sources in the exiled community, BRN-C has threatened to
stay away from whatever pre-dialogue process might be about to emerge.
Co-ordinate members told their Pulo counterparts that they want to see
how the Thais will respond to the massacre. An indifferent attitude
from Bangkok could mean an absence of cooperation from the
Co-ordinate.

A serious investigation into the mosque killings could very well be
the thing that convinces the BRN hard-liners that the government is
serious about any peace process that might emerge. And of course,
justice for the victims' families will also be a prerequisite.

Even if the BRN hard-liners agree to give the peace process the
benefit of the doubt, there is also the big question as to how the
militants on the ground - often referred to as juwae - will take up
the initiative of the old guard.

Said a senior Army general overseeing security in the deep South, "The
militants see themselves as winning this war against the Thai state."

Like others, the general doesn't think the BRN-Co-ordinate's link to
the juwae constitutes a shared command. Indeed, talking is one thing,
but can the BRN-Co-ordinate tell the juwae to put down their arms?




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