PPP in the lead but outcome unclear: Abac Poll

Of the 80 House seats from partylists, the People Power Party is projected to win 39, followed by the Democrat Party (33). Other four parties, Puea Pandin, Chart Thai, Ruam Jai Thai Chart Pattana and Pracharaj, will grab a total of eight seats. A margin of error is about plus or minus five seats due to a large number of the undecided.

The opinion survey was conducted on 9,698 respondents, including 2,109 local leaders in Tambon and Provincial Administrative Organisations, in 33 selected provinces between November 20 and December 5.

Local leaders ranked the PPP as the most active in campaigning, followed the Democrats, Matchima Thipataya, Chart Thai, Puea Pandin, Ruam Jai Chart Pattana and Pracharaj. They also estimated a voting turnout of 67.9 per cent.

Of the two top parties, the PPP has geared campaign activities for the Northeast, followed by the Central Region, the North and the South. The Democrats have focused on the South, followed by the Central Region, the North and the Northeast.

For proportionate voting, some 30 per cent said they made up their mind on which party to vote for and about 32 per cent picked a favourite but might change their mind.

In direct voting, almost 26 per cent said they formed their decision on candidates and party banners and about 28 per cent said they might reconsider their decision.

Based on the proportionate voting projection, the PPP is in the lead to secure victory. But the overall outcome remain uncertain due to a significant number of the undecided and those willing to switch favourites.

The Nation